I will start by saying two things, and this is before I do my own scoring. I remember last year in the free skate at Worlds that I was really surprised with my end result for Chan's score, as I expected it to be much lower. Second, the IJS rules have been modified a bit, switching up the positive/negative grade of execution for jumps. The quad toe receives the +/-1.0 increments that the triples received last year, and now the triples start out at +/-0.7.
Am I going to shock myself and actually agree with the outcome? If that is the case, am I going to agree with the set GOEs and point values for all of the elements in the newest rules? Let's see, starting with the short program.
All of the math and fun little details, below the break
Adam Rippon USA
3F+3T 1 (most judges went for +2 here)
FCSp3 1 (would have been +2 probably had he held the first position longer)
3Lz 1 (yes, a bit of a pause in the steps.. if he can find a way to go directly into the jump, there's no reason he shouldn't get a +3 eventually)
CSSp4 1 (great positions, but the speed could improve)
SlSt3 1 (great amount of content, but the beginning looked a bit heavy)
CCoSp4 1 (again, great positions.. he'll be set if he can increase the speed just a bit)
I'd have all of the components pretty close together, as all of the aspects of the program were very good but not yet on that top level.
My total score= 77.65
The judges had it at 77.53, so there's clearly no complaining here. ;-)
Patrick Chan CAN
|Landing of the triple Axel|
3A (under-rotated) -3 (a bit lucky here to not receive any under-rotation, as I try to show in the screen shot to the left)
CCoSp4 1 (good speed, good positions, but a bit of a travel on the last scratch position-- two judges gave +3 here, while only two agreed with +1)
3F+3T 1 (+2 from a lot of the judges, even though he had a slight pause between the two jumps and no flow following the combo)
FSSp4 1 (good centering and positions, but not amazing)
CCSp3 1 (strong positions for the camel, but on the slow side)
SlSt2 -3 (I know that the footwork sequence, when clean, will be amazing, but the fall wasn't a 'go down and get up right away' fall, he took about five seconds to get back into the element, and there really wasn't anything there afterwards. -1 just seems over-the-top generous to me)
There were a few judges that really liked Patrick on this panel as far as the elements went. Three of the four who gave him only a -1 for the fall in footwork also gave him a +2 for the flying sit, and those same four all gave him +2 for the triple flip/triple toe, along with one other judge. I'm guessing those scores might have been a bit of a boost because of the other errors, but who knows..
TES= 32.60 (the judges have him at 36.73, and I'd blame the callers here for not under-rotating the Axel. There's 2.5 points difference there)
I have no problem admitting that Patrick has gorgeous skating skills and he totally loads the program with transitions, but I think my problem is that I even noted in my live blog BEFORE the fall on the footwork that the program was not really exciting or engaging the crowd, and he looked shocked both after the two jump falls and especially after the footwork fall. He didn't completely give up, but there was no spark there
Deductions= -3.00 (all falls)
My total score= 68.60
Interestingly enough, I was right in line with the overall PCS score, as I went higher on the transitions and the judges went higher on the performance/execution and interpretation. The difference was in the 4 points on the technical score. That, at this point, would give Adam Rippon a lead of 9.05.
Nobunari Oda JPN
3A 2 (not much into the jump, but an absolutely gorgeous landing and edge work directly out of the jump)
3F+3T 2 (again, steps both into and out of the jump, and both were great and had deep, beautiful run-outs. Honestly a little tempted to give +3 here)
FCSp4 0 (scored high by the judges. traveling in the beginning, and the positions were alright but the speed was also average)
3Lz 1 (nice footwork leading in, but again a slight pause before the jump. good, not great like the other two jump elements)
CCoSp4 1 (excellent on the first half, but the change foot resulted in another traveling spin)
SlSt3 1 (good again here, but not the best of flow and he looked down and focused the entire time rather than just letting it happen)
CSSp4 0 (maybe a bit harsh, but the first sit spin was all over the place on the ice)
I think the judges were a bit generous on his spins, giving him a 43.37 for elements.
Just a point below the judges here. I comment all the time about how he is so stone-faced and really focused, and that really reflected on his interpretation mark for me. The music is dynamic, and he somewhat skates right through it. The transitions were strong around the jumps, but he could add more in-between and leading into the other elements.
My total score= 79.00
So I'd have it 1) Oda 79.00, 2) Rippon 77.65, 3) Chan 68.60. This doesn't include Kevin Reynolds, who was 2nd after the actual short program. I might go back later and score him out of curiosity to see where he'd fit in.
Long program later. These numbers hurt my head.